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2024-12-14 05:11:13

Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.Look at the picture: The increased confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry indicates that the economic development is in line with the Bank of Japan's forecast. Before the Bank of Japan's policy meeting next week, the confidence of Japan's large-scale manufacturing industry has increased. According to the quarterly short-term report released by the Bank of Japan on Friday, the short-term survey index of Japan's large manufacturing industry rose slightly to 14 in December, with an estimated 13. The short-term survey index of large non-manufacturing industry decreased slightly from 34 to 33. Small businesses' confidence in manufacturing and service industries has also improved, although the outlook has slightly weakened or remained unchanged. The short-term report has attracted the attention of the Bank of Japan and is the last batch of major domestic data that will be carefully studied before the interest rate decision on December 19. This result shows that Japan's economic development is in line with the forecast of the Bank of Japan and is a condition for further interest rate hike. Compared with December, economists are more inclined to expect the Bank of Japan to take action in January next year, but still believe that the risk of raising interest rates next week is high.Southern Power Grid: In November, the installed capacity of industrial and commercial distributed photovoltaic projects was newly put into operation, with more than 500 MW. Southern Power Grid (003035) said at the institutional investor strategy meeting on December 12 that in 2024, the company will continue to give full play to the advantages of distributed photovoltaic energy-saving track, focusing on key industries with good industry prospects, strong sustainable operation ability and large electricity consumption, and increase development efforts. According to preliminary statistics, from January to November 2024, the installed capacity of industrial and commercial distributed photovoltaic projects was newly put into operation with more than 500 MW.


Li Tie was sentenced to 20 years. On December 13, 2024, the Intermediate People's Court of Xianning City, Hubei Province publicly pronounced the case of Li Tie, the former head coach of China National Men's Football Team. Li Tie was sentenced to 20 years' imprisonment for accepting bribes, bribery, unit bribery, bribery of non-state staff and bribery of non-state staff. (CCTV News)Li Zaiming, leader of the opposition party in South Korea, said that impeaching Yin Xiyue is the best way to restore order. Thanks to the United States and its allies for supporting Korean democracy.Maotai Group had an exchange discussion with Huawei. Kweichow Moutai official news on December 13th. On December 12th, Zhang Pingan, managing director of Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. and CEO of Huawei Cloud, visited Maotai and held an exchange discussion with Zhang Deqin, Party Secretary and Chairman of Maotai Group.


The CSI convertible bond index opened lower by 0.03%. Lide convertible bonds rose by more than 7%, and Weipai convertible bonds rose by more than 4%; Z-mode convertible bonds fell by nearly 3%, while Fuxin convertible bonds and Yinxin convertible bonds fell by nearly 2%.China, with the largest plantation area in the world, has become the country with the greatest contribution to greening in the world. In the past 30 years since the signing of the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification, China has made remarkable achievements in combating desertification, especially since last June, China has launched the "Three North" project. At present, the forest coverage rate in the "Three North" project area has increased from 5% in the 1970s to 13.84%. By the end of 2023, the forest coverage rate in China exceeded 25%, the forest stock exceeded 20 billion cubic meters, and the plantation area ranked first in the world, making it the most green country in the world. (CCTV News)Bestak: Actively deploy the C-end smart product business. At present, it has not cooperated with Bean Bag AI. Bestak said at the performance briefing on December 12 that on the one hand, the company actively deployed the C-end smart product business, exerted its own brand, promoted business expansion with category innovation, and continuously enhanced the strategic value of the new development pattern. On the other hand, the company invested in the layout of cross-border e-commerce companies, and joined hands with them to promote the series of inflator products to the sea, strengthen the cross-border e-commerce coordination strategy, and vigorously explore the potential market. In addition, the company said that the company has not cooperated with Bean Bag AI at present.

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